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  Investors betting that the RBNZ would hike rates this week were disappointed. Yields on New Zealand's 10-year government bonds ended the week 14 bps lower on the dovish surprise. The RBNZ recently ended its Large-Scale…
  As a play on further RBNZ hawkishness BCA Research’s Global Fixed Income Strategy service recommends a new tactical trade: a 2-year/5-year yield curve flattener in New Zealand government bonds. The team believes that the…
Highlights US Treasuries: Peaking global growth expectations and the growing spread of the Delta variant are challenging the “reflation and reopening” narrative that drove bond yields higher in Q1 of this year. Underlying…
  On Wednesday, the RBNZ announced that it will halt bond buying under its Large Scale Asset Purchase program by July 23 – nearly a year ahead of its originally scheduled expiration. This came as a hawkish surprise to…
Special Report This week, we present the third edition of the BCA Research Global Fixed Income Strategy (GFIS) Global Credit Conditions Chartbook—a review of central bank surveys of bank lending standards and loan demand. The data from lending…
Special Report Highlights The Fed: The Fed will formally discuss tapering plans over the course of this summer and fall and announce the slowing of asset purchases before the end of 2021. Its labor market objectives will also be achieved in time to…
Special Report Highlights House prices are rising rapidly across the developed markets, in response to the extraordinary monetary and fiscal policy stimulus implemented to fight the pandemic. Evidence points to the house price surge being driven by…
Special Report Highlights House prices are rising rapidly across the developed markets, in response to the extraordinary monetary and fiscal policy stimulus implemented to fight the pandemic. Evidence points to the house price surge being driven by…
  As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand left policy unchanged at its Wednesday meeting. Instead, the central bank sounded more optimistic about the economic outlook. Most notably, it reintroduced projections for the official…
Highlights Global Tapering: The Bank of England has joined the Bank of Canada as central banks tapering the pace of bond buying. Markets are now trying to sort out who is next and concluding that it will not be the Federal Reserve,…