Lower oil prices are aggravating financial and social stress in poorer OPEC states, particularly in Venezuela, where the government recently executed a gold-for-cash swap ahead of looming debt payments.
The Fed's decision to scale back intended interest rate hikes reflects economic reality.
We differ markedly with the U.S. EIA's assessment of the near-term evolution of oil supply and demand.
The wide WTI - Brent differentials at the front of these respective curves will continue to incentivize crude-oil exports from the U.S. to European refiners, who tend to favor the light-sweet crude coming out of LTO plays.
The relief rally is not over, and could benefit from commodity and currency market movements. Oil prices likely are banging out a bottom. In general, however, a healthy dose of caution is warranted. Our bias is to sell into, rather…
A stunning 9.9 million-barrel build in U.S. oil inventories this week failed to arrest the upward climb in prices.
The remarkable admission by OPEC's secretary-general, Salem el-Badri, earlier this week that with "any increase in (oil's) price, shale will come immediately and cover any reduction" in output only hints at the larger impact of light…
The sheer scale of underperformance leaves the oilfield services group vulnerable to violent bounces, especially in view of the recent stabilization in oil prices as well as an agreement between several OPEC members and Russia to freeze…
The deeply negative momentum in oil prices is fading, setting up the possibility of a counter-trend rebound in global inflation expectations and perhaps even the beaten-up U.S. High-Yield bond market.
The agreement to freeze oil production should reduce tail risks, even if it does not improve overall corporate sector health and profits.