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The Tactical Asset Allocation model can provide investment recommendations which diverge from those outlined in our regular weekly publications. The model has a much shorter investment horizon - namely, one month - and thus attempts to…
The mini-consolidation in equities reflects the ongoing tension between market-supportive liquidity and a sketchy corporate profit backdrop.
As the U.S. median voter is shifting to the left, redistributive policy could come into play. A strong dollar helps to achieve this goal as it results in a bigger share of labor income in the economy. EM and commodity currencies…
In September, the model outperformed the S&P 500, while it underperformed global equities in both USD and local-currency terms. For October, the model trimmed its allocation to stocks and boosted its weightings in bonds and cash…
Stocks are flirting with new highs, courtesy of a gradualist Fed and the reduced threat of incremental near-term U.S. dollar strength.
Special Report This week, we are introducing a new investment benchmark index that includes all the countries and sectors that we regularly cover in our research, and a detailed recommended portfolio that fully reflects our market views.
Consumer products stocks are likely to move to an even larger valuation premium before the cyclical outperformance phase ends.
Special Report We extracted the key factors driving currency returns; these variables approximate the dollar, EM spreads, and commodities. Any currency's sensitivity to these factors can be estimated, offering a great degree of flexibility for…
Special Report While we expect both direct and indirect exposure to generate solid risk-adjusted returns, favor direct given its overall portfolio impact, lower correlation to financial assets and better inflation protection.