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Highlights Oil demand expectations remain high. Realized demand continues to disappoint. This means OPEC 2.0's production-management strategy – i.e., keeping the level of supply below demand – will continue to dictate…
Special Report Highlights The Fed: The Fed will formally discuss tapering plans over the course of this summer and fall and announce the slowing of asset purchases before the end of 2021. Its labor market objectives will also be achieved in time to…
Special Report Highlights House prices are rising rapidly across the developed markets, in response to the extraordinary monetary and fiscal policy stimulus implemented to fight the pandemic. Evidence points to the house price surge being driven by…
  UK inflation doubled in April, rising to the highest level since last March. The consumer price index increased to 1.5% y/y. The acceleration in the monthly pace to 0.6% m/m from 0.3% m/m suggests that more than just base effects…
Highlights Global Tapering: The Bank of England has joined the Bank of Canada as central banks tapering the pace of bond buying. Markets are now trying to sort out who is next and concluding that it will not be the Federal Reserve,…
  The United Kingdom will remain united – at least for now. The Scottish parliamentary election occurred on May 6 and the result does not herald a second Scottish independence referendum anytime soon. The Scottish National…
  BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service downgraded UK small-cap stocks to neutral on a tactical basis. Despite the positive UK economic outlook, investors should adopt a more cautious tactical stance toward…
Highlights Important leading indicators of Eurozone activity point to record growth in the coming quarters. Progress on the vaccination front, global pent-up demand, and easing fiscal policy will fuel the Euro Area recovery. Consensus…
Special Report Highlights The Scottish parliamentary election does not present a near-term risk of a second referendum on Scottish independence. Independence is possible down the road but very unlikely due to a host of economic and geopolitical…
  As expected, the Bank of England maintained the bank rate at 0.1% and kept the total target stock of asset purchases unchanged at its Thursday meeting. However, the central bank upgraded its growth outlook and now forecasts GDP…