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Special Report Using long-term real rates, Uncovered Interest Rate Parity still works for exchange rate determination. Currencies are also affected by the global risk appetite and commodity prices. Intermediate-term fundamentals for EUR/USD are…
In successful investment analysis "less is more, and usually much more effective."
Over the past 12 months, the yen surged, powered by global deflationary fears. Japanese monetary conditions massively tightened, causing additional yen strength, creating a vicious circle. Policymakers will respond, but markets are…
Special Report Highlights The U.K. has a new Prime Minister - former Home Secretary Theresa May - who has committed her cabinet to pursue a divorce from the EU. With the government in London now falling inline with the mantra that "Brexit means…
The perception that central banks have turned even more dovish has pushed down global bond yields, while also giving stocks a lift. Looking out, bond yields are likely to edge higher as investors begin to focus more on the outcome of…
Special Report Signs that the median voter is moving to the left are everywhere. Markets will cheer the move as it means more government spending. In the long term, it depends if policymakers stop at fiscal stimulus. In this Monthly Report, BCA's…
Signs that the median voter is moving to the left are everywhere. Markets will cheer the move as it means more government spending. In the long term, it depends if policymakers stop at fiscal stimulus. In this Monthly Report, BCA's…
Special Report Long-time subscriber Mr. X recently visited our office to discuss three issues: Brexit, the outlook for China and the seeming contraction between the performance of equity and bond markets. This Special Report is a transcript of our…
Please see attached our Third Quarter Strategy Outlook which discusses the major investment themes and views we see playing out for the rest of the year.
Brexit is putting our bearish short-term dollar view in question as global policy uncertainty has surged. Yet, investors are displaying elevated signs of risk aversion but the global economy still looks fine. This dissonance is…