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Highlights US natural gas prices will remain well supported over the April-October injection season, as the global economic expansion gains traction, particularly in Europe, which also is refilling depleted storage levels. China's…
Highlights Rising CO2 emissions on the back of stronger global energy growth this year will keep energy markets focused on expanding ESG risks in the buildout of renewable generation via metals mining (Chart of the Week).  …
While the Fed’s dots dovishly surprised, the FOMC’s output and inflation projections were on the hawkish side. Adding the committee’s core PCE price inflation estimate for 2021 to their real GDP forecast results in a…
Highlights Duration: Only 2 of the 5 items on our Checklist For Increasing Portfolio Duration have been checked. We will heed this message and stick with below-benchmark portfolio duration for the time being. We will have an…
Dear client, Next week instead of our regular Strategy Report we will be sending you a Special Report from BCA’s Equity Analyzer service on Inflation and Factor investing penned by my colleague Lucas Laskey, Senior Quantitative…
  Neutral We have been on the right side of the underweight utilities position for the better part of the past two years, but now that the easy money has been made, we are compelled to book handsome gains of 14.8% for the…
Highlights Portfolio Strategy Speculative fervor dominates trading in the S&P auto & components group, but soaring long-term profit projections, lofty valuations, overbought technicals, and a looming German/Japanese/Chinese…
Special Report Many investors feel that the Phillips Curve has failed to predict weak inflation over the past decade. But this perception is due to a singular focus on the economic slack component of the modern-day version of the curve to the exclusion…
  The outperformance of transportation stocks relative to utilities has gained pace in the month of August. This internal market dynamics is important because it confirms that the outlook for cyclical equities is improving relative…
Special Report The Fed’s efforts to jawbone the US dollar are paying off as investors have been shedding their greenback exposure over the past several weeks. In recent research,1 we have also been highlighting that although Powell would never…