The Fed's decision to scale back intended interest rate hikes reflects economic reality.
A dovish Fed bought the bounce a bit more time, but there is little incentive to add portfolio risk. Buy consumer finance, especially vs. banks, and expect communications equipment outperformance.
While the FOMC was more dovish than expected, rising inflation may cause the Fed to escalate hawkish rhetoric. The bounce in oil should help high-beta stocks. Underweight U.S. equities versus Europe, Japan and H-shares. We estimate U…
We differ markedly with the U.S. EIA's assessment of the near-term evolution of oil supply and demand.
A Chinese reflationary cycle is unfolding. Capital spending is showing signs of regained vigor, driven by both housing and infrastructure. Chinese PPI deflation will ease further. This will help reduce balance sheet stress of…
The current uptrend in Treasury yields will be cut short once the dollar appreciates in response to an increasingly hawkish Fed. Maintain benchmark duration and add a long 2/10 barbell, short 5yr bullet trade to profit from Fed…
Confirming indicators still do not validate the oversold rally. Fade the materials sector bounce, by selling steel down to underweight.
The euro stopped weakening in March 2015, which coincided with the ECB starting its asset purchases. Since then, the ECB's incremental policies have been unable to push the euro lower. The price action speaks to the resilience of the…