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Highlights Corporates: The same indicators that called the early-2016 peak in credit spreads are once again sending a positive signal. Investors should tactically increase exposure to corporate bonds at the expense of Treasuries.…
Highlights Portfolio Strategy The budding recovery in Chinese infrastructure outlays and easing in monetary conditions, a pause in the U.S. dollar’s rally on the back of a more dovish Fed and improving domestic steel final-…
The oil rout that began in October appears to have run its course, based on positioning, sentiment and technicals. All the same, several cross-market gauges we designed to assess investors’ conviction on global macro conditions…
Highlights Chart 1Checklist To Buy Credit  The sell-off in spread product continued through the holiday season, but with spreads now looking more attractive, it is time to consider increasing exposure to corporate credit. Much…
Highlights Risk assets have had a rough go of it since we last published on December 17th: Equities have been through the wringer, spreads have widened sharply, and the 10-year Treasury yield has tumbled to an 11-month low. We don…
Highlights Dear Clients, This is the final publication for the year, in which we recap some of the key developments in 2018. We will resume our regular publishing schedule on January 2, 2019 with a Special Report on urbanization/…
Highlights Dear Client, This is the final Global Fixed Income Strategy report for 2018. We will return with our first report of the new year on January 8th, 2019. Our entire team wishes you a very happy holiday season and a prosperous…
Highlights Portfolio Strategy The drubbing in the S&P semi equipment index is overdone and even a modest improvement on either the trade policy, industry demand or currency fronts could result in a reflex rebound, warranting an…
Special Report Highlights Below-Benchmark Duration: Below-benchmark duration positions will continue to pay off in 2019 as the Fed delivers more than the 32 bps of rate hikes that are priced into the curve for the next 12 months. While tighter…
Special Report Feature An infrastructure bill has been the focus of economists and strategists as the next leg in fiscal easing to sustain the economy. On the face of it, such a thesis appears eminently believable. Despite historically low unemployment…