Highlights Chart 1Bond Bear On Pause? The start of a new year often brings optimism and nowhere is this more evident than in economic projections. In three of the past four years (2017 being the exception) Bloomberg consensus…
Feature Chilean stocks have surged recently following the victory of conservative businessman Sebastian Pinera in the presidential elections. Odds are that we could be witnessing the beginning of a period of Chilean outperformance…
Highlights Global bourses celebrated solid earnings growth and the passage of U.S. tax cuts heading into year-end. The direct effect of the tax cuts will likely boost U.S. real GDP growth in 2018 by 0.2 to 0.3 percentage points. It…
Highlights As bitcoin has developed into a fledgling form of money, the best valuation framework for it is the quantity theory of money. This states that the bitcoin money supply (in dollars) times bitcoin's velocity of…
Dear Clients, This is the final publication for the year, in which we recap some of the key developments in 2017. We will resume our regular publishing schedule on January 4, 2018 with a brief market update. The China Investment…
Highlights Portfolio Strategy The easy money has already been made in the liquidity-to-growth theme-levered long S&P energy/short global gold miners pair trade. Lock in profits and move to the sidelines, for now. Similarly, book…