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Special Report In a February Special Report titled "Assessing Fair Value In FX Markets" we introduced a set of long-term valuation models based on various fundamentals. We have updated the results and added KRW, INR, PHP, HKD, CLP and COP to our…
In September, the model outperformed the S&P 500, while it underperformed global equities in both USD and local-currency terms. For October, the model trimmed its allocation to stocks and boosted its weightings in bonds and cash…
It's hard to make a case for attractive returns from any asset class over the next year. We dial down risk a bit but ending our overweight on junk bonds. Investors should pick up yield where they can but without taking excessive risk…
Investors stand to benefit from Czech koruna revaluation versus the euro and also from positive carry, while waiting for the central bank to remove the exchange rate floor. Go long CZK / short euro. Economic fundamentals and policy…
Stocks are flirting with new highs, courtesy of a gradualist Fed and the reduced threat of incremental near-term U.S. dollar strength.
Special Report A playable pair trade opportunity has emerged on the back of shifting capital spending patterns: long communications equipment/short machinery.
Special Report This week, we are introducing a new investment benchmark index that includes all the countries and sectors that we regularly cover in our research, and a detailed recommended portfolio that fully reflects our market views.
Consumer products stocks are likely to move to an even larger valuation premium before the cyclical outperformance phase ends.
Special Report The secular bond bull market is over. Safety is in a bubble. The shift from monetary to fiscal easing is the most likely candidate to prick the bubble in safety. In this piece we revise our yield portfolio to increase its resilience…