Insights
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Please join Dhaval Joshi, Chief Strategist of the Counterpoint service, for a Webcast on:
Thursday, April 30
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST
In this Webcast, Dhaval will explore the interplay between two of the biggest macro drivers right now: Agentic AI; and the global commodity shock.
The discussion will include:
- Can agentic AI extend the tech capex cycle, and who are the winners and losers.
- Can agentic AI boost productivity growth.
- Is the oil shock inflationary, recessionary, or both.
- How does the oil shock’s impact vary by major economy.
- What are the investment conclusions.
If viewing in the BCA App, the live webcast can be viewed here.
Topics discussed:
- Update on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz: shipping, attacks, and the state of talks
- How is the global energy market absorbing the shock?
- How will central banks respond to the trade-off between growth and inflation?
- Should investors fade the USD rebound?
- How is the energy crisis rippling across other commodity markets?
Please join Chief EM/China Strategist, Arthur Budaghyan, for a Webcast on Thursday, April 23 at 2:00 PM EDT | 7:00 PM BST | 8:00 PM CEST.
Arthur will discuss:
- EM equities: A profitless rally
- EM structural profitability: Little improvement
- China: Making sense of the economy and stock market
- EM Local Bonds: Buy Back On Dips
- EM sovereign credit: As good as it gets
- EM equity and fixed income opportunities
Roukaya discussed:
- What is the status of the global and regional energy sector, including production and distribution?
- How should investors assess the Iran war’s impact on the energy market?
- How will the energy disruption ripple across other markets?
- What are the long-term commodity market implications of the Iran war?
Macro headlines may have shifted attention away from Private Markets, but the underlying risks remain. We revisit the Private Credit-Software cracks we flagged early and explain why, despite the noise, the structural story is just getting started.
- How did we get here?
- Is Software making or breaking Private Credit's diversification case?
- Systemic risk or a normal credit cycle?
- How are our 2024 calls on Distressed versus Buyouts playing out?
- Where are the most overlooked opportunities across Private (and Public) Markets right now?
Marko Papic, Matt Gertken, and Roukaya Ibrahim look at the latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz and the implications for global financial markets.
Topics discussed:
- Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold? What should investors monitor to determine whether it is failing?
- How long will it take for energy flows and shipping to improve significantly? What would cause a relapse?
- Will the disconnect between financial markets and the real economic impact prove lasting or significant?
- How should investors position for the future evolution of commodity markets and commodity-linked assets?
- What other market dynamics will emerge and will Hormuz remain the central global focus?