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Strategy Insight

Walz And The Electoral College Tie

by Matt Gertken, Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist  

Harris picked Walz to patch up her weak side in the electorally vital Midwest. But the US election will continue to weigh on risk appetite, stocks, and high-beta assets because the odds of a single-party sweep are at least 50%, probably higher. Policy uncertainty and risk premiums will rise, not fall, in the coming months.

BCA Research | US Political Strategy

A blend of geopolitics and macro, synthesizing the new and old macro to generate alpha and identify the beta through probability-weighted market views.

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