Executive Summary For the first time in a decade, it is much less attractive to buy than to rent a home. In both the UK and US, the mortgage rate is now almost double the average rental yield. To reset the equilibrium between buying…
Consumer confidence continues to deteriorate across Europe. In Germany, GFK consumer confidence fell for the fourth straight month, collapsed to a new record low of -42.5 from -36.8. Similarly, French consumer confidence declined…
Executive Summary Upward Repricing Of Bond Yields Continues In this report, we discuss our move last week to shift to a below-benchmark overall global duration stance in more detail. Our strongest conviction view on…
The German Ifo Business Climate Index weakened further in September, sliding from 88.6 to 84.3, below expectations of a milder deterioration to 87.0. The current situation and expectations sub-components ticked down 3.0 points…
Italy’s right-wing coalition led by Giorgia Meloni of the far-right Brothers of Italy party –which also includes the League and Forza Italia – secured 44% of the vote in Sunday’s general election. Italian…
Sterling collapsed to an all-time low in intra-day trading on Monday. The weakness follows UK Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng’s Friday mini-budget announcement and weekend comments that more tax cuts are coming. The Bank of…
According to BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service for investors concerned with the left-tail risk in European equities, European credit offers a credible alternative in the near term. This asset class is also…
In its post-meeting statement on Thursday, the Bank of England highlighted that the MPC is prepared to “respond forcefully” to any changes to the inflationary outlook. On Friday, the new UK government unveiled a…