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The Numbers

Empire Fed Beats, But Signal Too Noisy To Shift Positioning

by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier, Chief Strategist  

The July Empire Fed beat estimates, but survey volatility, inventory distortions, and shallow strength dampen this signal.  The headline index surged to 5.5 from -16.0, supported by gains in shipments, employment, and capex intentions. However, new…

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