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Risk Assessment Of Our Commodity Views

by Ashwin Shyam, Associate Editor  

Our bullish view on commodity prices is underpinned by demand growth driven by stronger real GDP, led by EM. Threats to this view – i.e., a failed re-opening in China, stronger USD, higher real rates in the US, and continued policy uncertainty – are non-trivial. All the same, we remain bullish industrial commodities and gold.

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BCA Research | Commodity & Energy Strategy

Top-down global-macro framework with bottom-up fundamental analysis of major commodities.

 

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