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Markets Vs. Planners: How Will Oil Be Priced?

by Matt Gertken, Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist   Ashwin Shyam, Strategist  

The G7’s attempt to insert itself in the oil-price-formation process performed by global trading markets will distort markets and the signals driving production, consumption and investment. The G7 will need a face-saving off-ramp to ditch this planner-based proposal. We expect Brent prices to move toward our expectations of $105/bbl in 4Q22 and $118/bbl in 2023, and remain long the XOP ETF.

BCA Research | Commodity & Energy Strategy

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