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The Numbers

Volatile Services, Tariff Risk Mask Underlying Disinflation

by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier, Chief Strategist  

July US CPI met expectations as leading indicators point to disinflation, supporting our long duration stance and preference for 2s5s steepeners. Headline CPI rose 0.2% m/m (2.7% y/y), while core increased 0.3% m/m and accelerated to 3.1% y/y. Both goods…

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