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Copper

MacroQuant recommends underweighting equities and adopting a benchmark duration stance in fixed-income portfolios. The model is very positive on the US dollar, bearish on gold, neutral on copper, and bullish on oil.

Our Geopolitical strategists see the DRC Ebola outbreak as a low-probability but high-consequence supply-chain risk. The country holds a critical position in global copper and, especially, cobalt production. Our colleagues expect the outbreak to stay…

Ebola remains one of the world's deadliest viral diseases, but it is far less transmissible than COVID-19 or influenza. The most likely outcome remains containment rather than a global pandemic.

In this screener report, we explore opportunities in: US copper beneficiaries; Australian Materials, Energy, and Industrial stocks; and US reinvestment-led Tech stocks.

Our Commodity strategists are upgrading copper from underweight to neutral, reflecting a near-term skew to the upside even as prices have lost touch with fundamentals. The recent rally has been propelled by speculative flows rather than current demand…

Copper prices are surging again after a brief pullback in the first quarter. 
What is driving the renewed strength, and can it persist?

MacroQuant recommends a slight underweight position in equities, favors a below-benchmark duration stance in fixed-income portfolios, is very positive on the US dollar, downgrades gold to underweight, upgrades copper to overweight, and remains very bullish on oil.

Our commodity strategists see industrial metals as detached from fundamentals. China’s credit and fiscal impulse still leads industrial metal imports, but prices have moved well above what that signal supports. The demand evidence remains weak. Chinese…

MacroQuant recommends an underweight position in equities, favors a below-benchmark duration stance in fixed-income portfolios, is neutral-to-slightly positive on the US dollar, remains neutral on gold, upgrades copper to neutral, and is very bullish on oil.

MacroQuant recommends a strong underweight position in equities, favors a below-benchmark duration stance in fixed-income portfolios, has become neutral-to-slightly positive on the US dollar, has downgraded gold to neutral and copper to a strong underweight, and is bullish on oil.