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Strategy Outlook

Fourth Quarter 2024 Strategy Outlook: Soft Landing Or Quicksand?

by Peter Berezin, Chief Strategist  

After resisting the consensus narrative in 2022 that a US recession was imminent, and then predicting an immaculate disinflation for 2023, the Global Investment Strategy team has joined the dark side and is now expecting a recession to start in the US within the next six months. Accordingly, we recommend that investors underweight stocks and overweight government bonds.

BCA Research | Global Investment Strategy

BCA’s flagship global macro and investment strategy platform, helping investors anticipate regime shifts, connect signals across regions and asset classes, and navigate the world’s most difficult macro questions.

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