Strategy Report
A Stampede Into EM Bonds
The ongoing stampede into EM bonds is unsustainable. Running away from G7 bonds does not necessarily entail buying EM bonds. These are two separate investment decisions. Lower commodities prices, weaker EM currencies and higher G7 bond yields will undermine EM bond returns going forward. A new relative bond trade: long Polish and Hungarian 5-year / short South African and Turkish 5-year local bonds, currency unhedged.
BCA Research | Emerging Markets Strategy
BCA’s flagship global macro and investment strategy platform, helping investors anticipate regime shifts, connect signals across regions and asset classes, and navigate the world’s most difficult macro questions.
Stay Connected with BCA
Get our latest events and research insights delivered to your inbox.