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Strategy Report

There Won’t Be A Recession Until More People Are Convinced That There Won’t Be A Recession

by Peter Berezin, Chief Strategist  

Ironically, increased confidence that the economy can withstand higher bond yields may be necessary to lift yields to a level that is actually detrimental to growth. Thus, until more investors are convinced that a recession will be averted, a recession will be averted. Remain tactically bullish on stocks for now. A more defensive posture will likely be necessary later this year.

BCA Research | Global Investment Strategy

BCA’s flagship global macro and investment strategy platform, helping investors anticipate regime shifts, connect signals across regions and asset classes, and navigate the world’s most difficult macro questions.

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