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Strategy Report

U.S. Dollar Liquidity And The Greenback: Atypical Divergence

by Arthur Budaghyan, Chief EM/China Strategist  

The U.S. dollar's corrective/consolidation phase is over, and it is about to rally. The risk-reward for EM stocks and currencies is extremely unattractive. We are reiterating our recommendation to short a basket of ZAR, BRL, TRY, MYR, IDR and CLP versus the U.S. dollar. There is a value opportunity in the Mexican peso. Go long MXN versus ZAR. Also, double down on the long MXN / short BRL trade.

BCA Research | Emerging Markets Strategy

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