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Strategy Outlook

The Critical Hour: Geopolitical Outlook, Q4 2024

by Yushu Ma, Strategist   Max Malakhveitchouk, Senior Analyst    Matt Gertken, Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist   Junfei Guo, Research Analyst   Jesse Anak Kuri, Strategist  

Markets are rallying on Fed rate cuts and China stimulus but there will also be October surprises ahead of the US election, which Trump could still win. Russia’s conflict with the West is escalating and the Middle East is destabilizing further. Investors should favor US bonds but they should add some risk in emerging markets in response to China’s policy turn.

BCA Research | Geopolitical Strategy

Political and geopolitical analysis translated into actionable, probability-weighted market views, helping investors identify mispricing, price risk, and position before consensus catches up.

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